Ethiopia stands at a perilous crossroads. Ethiopia’s PM Abiy Ahmed’s actions have not only failed to bring stability but have actively deepened the country’s crisis. His post-Pretoria Agreement maneuvers were never designed to foster peace; they were carefully orchestrated to divide and weaken the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). Reports from multiple sources, including insiders within his own Prosperity Party, indicate that Abiy has been manipulating elements of the TPLF leadership to serve his war against Amhara and Eritrea, further fracturing Ethiopia and destabilizing the wider region. In fact, those who know the inner workings of the regime in Ethiopia, including Dr. Gedu Andargachew, the former Foreign Minister of Ethiopia and later National Security Advisor, in his interview with Anchor Media said that Abiy Ahmed’s and Oromia
Abiy Ahmed deludes himself into believing he is a grand strategist, but his reckless political maneuvers have come at the cost of millions of lives. He operates without any deep ethical consideration of the catastrophic consequences his decisions bring upon the Ethiopian people. The disastrous state of Ethiopia—politically, economically, and security-wise—is the direct result of his unchecked thirst for power, his imperial-like delusions, and his disregard for good governance and three hundred sixty degrees turn away from what he promised when he came to the helm of state power. His actions mirror the TPLF’s past self-serving schemes, prioritizing personal and party dominance over Ethiopia’s long-term stability. The Ethiopian people—now suffering in Tigray, Oromia, and Amhara in the main—are paying a heavy price in lives, limbs, blood, bones, and tears. All human suffering and tragedy do not mean much to the sociopathic autocrat.
At the same time, claims that Eritrea might align with the TPLF remain highly unlikely. Eritrean leaders have historically been strategic thinkers who understand the long-term stakes. The deep-rooted animosity between the TPLF and Eritrea makes such an alliance improbable. Yet, it is tragic and ironic to watch Abiy’s supporters blindly defend a leader who has systematically betrayed the Ethiopian people. His administration, dominated by the Oromia Prosperity Party (PP), has weaponized ethnocentric rhetoric to divide and rule, engaged in aggressive land grabs of other regions in Ethiopia, engaged in rampant violation of human rights, and suffocated Ethiopia under authoritarian rule.
Beyond his dangerous rhetoric, Ethiopia is unraveling under multiple crises:
- The War in Amhara: Abiy foolishly believed he could crush the resistance in “two weeks”—yet two years later, the war rages on, with tens of thousands of deaths, mass civilian massacres, and drone attacks. Infrastructure worth billions of dollars have been destroyed, and more than 70% of Amhara’s territory is now controlled or influenced by the Fano insurgency.
- The Oromia Insurgency: The Oromo Liberation Army (OLA) continues to hold significant territory, openly challenging Abiy’s rule in Oromia.
- Absence of the Rule of Law: Abiy’s security forces have conducted arbitrary mass detentions, ethnic-based persecution of the Amhara, mass incarceration of journalists and political dissidents.
- A Breakdown of Law and Order: Crime and insecurity have surged across Ethiopia, even in the capital, Addis Ababa.
- Widespread Corruption: Corruption runs rampant across all levels of government, further eroding trust in the state.
- A Collapsing Economy: Skyrocketing inflation has pushed millions into poverty, leaving ordinary Ethiopians struggling to afford necessities.
