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The Price of Partnering with Dictators: Ethiopia Faces the Fallout of Embracing Asmara

By: Ambassador Media
Date: July 30, 2025

Germany— Alarming reports are emerging of large-scale Eritrean military mobilization near the Ethiopian border, sparking renewed fears of conflict in the volatile Horn of Africa. According to the Eritrean Afar National Assembly (EANA), Eritrean forces, including heavy weapons and mechanized units, are moving towards the Bure area — a disputed border zone with Ethiopia.

Ali Mohammed Omar, executive member and spokesperson of the EANA, told Deutsche Welle (German Voice):

“The Eritrean government has deployed heavily armed troops to the border; Bure area. So, the desire to enter the war and bring peace to Ethiopia continues.”

While Asmara has not officially commented on the troop movements, observers say this development raises critical questions about the motives behind Eritrea’s aggressive posture — and the role of the Ethiopian government in enabling it.

Once Friends, Now Threats: Ethiopia’s Role in Re-arming Eritrea

The Ethiopian federal government, led by Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed, is facing increasing scrutiny for rekindling its controversial alliance with the Eritrean regime during the war against the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). Though previously sworn enemies, Addis Ababa and Asmara set aside decades of hostilities in 2018 — a move widely celebrated at the time as a historic peace accord.

But critics now say that partnership was forged not for peace, but for war. The joint Ethiopian-Eritrean military operations against TPLF forces in Tigray saw Eritrean troops accused of severe human rights abuses. Despite international condemnation, the Ethiopian government remained largely silent, prioritizing its strategic alliance with Eritrea over accountability.

That alliance now appears to be unraveling, or worse, evolving into a threat to Ethiopian sovereignty itself.

“The same Eritrean forces once welcomed into Ethiopia to fight TPLF are now positioning themselves ominously along the border,” said a regional analyst speaking on condition of anonymity. “Ethiopia’s decision to re-legitimize Eritrea’s military under the pretext of anti-TPLF operations has backfired.”

A Warning from the Afar Region

The Eritrean Afar National Assembly, a political organization representing the marginalized Afar community, has long warned against the actions of the ruling party in Eritrea, often referred to as “Shabia” (a term used for the PFDJ ruling party). The group says the current mobilization is not only dangerous for Ethiopia, but also a threat to Afar communities living near the border.

With tensions escalating and trust between the once-reconciled states eroding, the Horn of Africa risks sliding back into open conflict — a scenario that could destabilize the region further.

International Community Urged to Respond

Analysts and opposition figures alike are calling on the African Union, the United Nations, and other international stakeholders to monitor the developments closely and push for diplomatic intervention.

“The Ethiopian government cannot wash its hands clean after inviting Eritrean forces into its internal war,” said a human rights advocate based in Addis Ababa. “Now, those same forces may be preparing for a new phase of aggression — possibly even turning their weapons back toward Ethiopia.”

Tags: Eritrea, Ethiopia, Bure, TPLF, Shabia, Afar, Eritrean Army, Abiy Ahmed, Horn of Africa, Border Conflict

Let me know if you want this translated into Tigrinya, Amharic, or Afar, o

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1 comment

Abebe Tesfaye August 3, 2025 at 7:56 pm

You are a traitor. If you come back to Ethiopia, don’t expect mercy

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